Monday, December 20, 2010

For The First Time Since Its Passage, Majority Of Americans Think Obamacare Will Be Repealed

A recent court ruling in Virginia, holding that the central plan of Obamacare (the health insurance mandate) is unconstitutional no doubt has a lot to do with this surge in sentiment:

For the first time since Democrats in Congress passed the health care bill in March, a majority of U.S. voters believe the measure is likely to be repealed.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters think it is at least somewhat likely that the health care plan will be repealed. Thirty-three percent (33%) view repeal as unlikely. Those figures include 16% who believe repeal is Very Likely and 5% who believe it is Not at All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The number who view repeal as Likely is up from 47% last month and from 38% in early April. Belief that the plan is likely to be repealed has been hovering in the 40% range in surveys since April but began to rise in late October. Last week, a federal judge found a key provision in the law to be unconstitutional.

Note that another challenge to Obamacare ongoing in a federal court in Florida has inspired some criticism of the health insurance mandate from a judge as well. I don’t think the legal challenges to Obamacare are going to be settled anywhere short of the Supreme Court, but it’s clear that the legal victories (both won and impending) are bolstering the public’s anticipation of Obamacare being scrapped.